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03/14/2010 - Sao Paulo, Brazil (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Reigning IZOD IndyCar Series champion Dario Franchitti will start on the pole for the Sao Paulo Indy 300 after posting the fastest time in Sunday's qualifying on the streets of Sao Paulo.
One day after qualifying was delayed due to poor track conditions, Franchitti lapped the 2.6-mile, 11-turn street circuit in one minute, 27.7354 seconds. Qualifying took place on the same day as the race -- a first for the series.
"I was a little surprised to get into (the Firestone Fast Six)," Franchitti said. "I didn't have a very good day yesterday. We struggled to get my car the way I wanted it to work."
IRL officials postponed Saturday's scheduled qualifying after slippery concrete and very bumpy conditions along the front straightaway portion of the track presented safety concerns. Part of the straight rests on an area referred to as the Anbembi Sambodromo, which is one-third of a mile in length. The track surface in that section recently was painted for an annual spring carnival in Sao Paulo.
Track officials brought in grinding equipment and added grooves to the track overnight. Drivers participated in a 30-minute warm-up session during the morning, and track conditions significantly improved.
Franchitti was among several drivers who spun and crashed during the first two practice sessions.
Alex Tagliani, making his debut with the FAZZT Race Team, grabbed the outside pole after finishing 0.322 seconds behind Franchitti.
Justin Wilson, in his first run with Dreyer & Reinbold Racing, qualified third. Ryan Hunter-Reay and Will Power rounded out the top-five.
Tony Kanaan, Scott Dixon, who was fastest in two of the three practice sessions, Ryan Briscoe, Brazilian Helio Castroneves and rookie Takuma Sato will start sixth through 10th, respectively.
Danica Patrick, fresh off a three-race NASCAR Nationwide Series stint, will start 13th.
<< Reeling Raptors finish road trip in Portland
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The reeling Toronto Raptors haven't been playing like a
team headed toward the postseason and will try and salvage the finale of a
four-game road trip Sunday night against the surging Portland Trail Blazers.
The Raptors fe
<< Wolves, Kings clash in Sacramento
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two teams headed for the NBA Draft Lottery tangle in
Sacramento tonight as the Kings play host to the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Sacramento lost for the fourth time in five outings on Friday when Brandon Roy
poured in 28 poin
<< Suns resume homestand vs. fading Hornets
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Phoenix Suns hope to get back on the winning track
Sunday when they resume a season-long seven-game homestand against the
fading New Orleans Hornets at US Airways Center.
The Suns fell to 1-2 on their residency Friday
<< Surging Flames visit Canucks, GM Place
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Flames are getting hot at just the right time. Calgary
will try to match its longest winning streak of the season tonight when it
visits GM Place to take on the Vancouver Canucks.
The Flames have won four straight as t
Ford out of Pacers' lineup 7 to 10 days >>
MILWAUKEE (AP) -Pacers point guard T.J. Ford is expected to miss seven to 10 days with a sore left groin.Coach Jim O'Brien made the announcement before Indiana played the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday.Ford was injured early in the first quarter of a los
Capitals star Ovechkin gets game misconduct >>
CHICAGO (AP) -NHL scoring leader Alex Ovechkin is out of the Capitals' game against the Blackhawks after receiving a five-minute major and a game misconduct in the first period for driving Chicago's Brian Campbell into the boards from behind.Ovechki
Reid to work out at LSU Monday >>
HOUSTON (AP) -Bobby Reid hasn't played football since a 2008 injury, but the former Oklahoma State quarterback might get another chance at reviving his once-promising career.Reid, who became known more for Mike Gundy's now infamous ``I'm a man. I'm
Capitals-Blackhawks Sum >>
Washington 0 0 3 1-4Chicago 2 1 0 0-3First Period-1, Chicago, Toews 21 (Hjalmarsson, P.Kane), 7:00. 2, Chicago, Toews 22 (Sharp, P.Kane), 16:54 (pp).Second Period-3, Chicago, Madden 10 (Keith), 6:54.Third Period-4, Washington, Laich 22 (Gre
In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.
And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.
Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.
So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.
Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)
The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.
As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.
The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.
In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.
Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.
And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.
So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.
There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.
So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.
And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.
There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)
Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.
Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.
Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.
So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.
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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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