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03/08/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kansas is back atop the men's basketball world, taking the top spot in the Associated Press poll for the third time this season.
The Jayhawks (29-2) were the preseason No. 1 and spent the first eight weeks of the season as the top-ranked team before a loss to Tennessee on January 10. Kansas then returned to the top the first week of February before falling to No. 2 just last week after a loss at Oklahoma State, but a loss by Syracuse at Louisville on Saturday pushed the Big 12 regular-season champs back up to the top spot.
Kansas received 63 first-place votes and 1,623 points from a nationwide media panel to easily outdistance SEC regular-season champ Kentucky. The Wildcats (29-2) picked up the other two top tallies and 1,553 points to move up one spot to second.
Syracuse (28-3), which occupied the top ranking for the first time in 20 years before Saturday's 78-68 setback in the Freedom Hall finale, dropped two spots to third.
Duke remained fourth and Ohio State climbed one spot to fifth. Purdue, West Virginia, New Mexico, Kansas State and Villanova complete this week's top 10. Kansas State dropped four spots from fifth after losses at Kansas and at home to Iowa State.
The second 10 consists of Michigan State, Butler, Wisconsin, BYU, Tennessee, Pittsburgh, Temple, Gonzaga, Maryland and Vanderbilt. Maryland vaulted three spots after entering the poll last week at No. 22 thanks to wins over Duke and Virginia to claim a share of the ACC regular-season crown with the Blue Devils. Vanderbilt dropped seven places from 13th after Saturday's home loss against South Carolina.
Baylor, Georgetown, Texas A&M, Xavier and UTEP are the last five teams ranked this week.
There were no new entries this week heading into tournament play in the power conferences.
<< A's come to terms with P Bailey, 28 others
Phoenix, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Oakland Athletics closer Andrew Bailey was one
of 29 pre-arbitration players to agree to contracts for the 2010 season.
Bailey made 68 appearances for Oakland last season, posting a 6-3 record with
26 saves
<< Two tours, two wins for Villegas
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Before Camilo Villegas arrived at the first tee Sunday, he
called his mother in Colombia. "Tell the little bro congratulations and keep
it up," he told her.
More than 1,500 miles away, Manuel Villegas was signing his score
<< UMass to seek new women's hoops coach
Amherst, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The University of Massachusetts is in the
market for a new women's basketball coach after the school decided not to
retain Marnie Dacko for next season.
Dacko's contract is set to expire April 10.
<< 2010 Big East Conference Tournament Preview
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - While there are several teams projected to
make it to the NCAA Tournament, there's only one guaranteed bid that comes out
of the massive 16-team beast that is the 31st annual Big East Conference
Tournament.
Pitt, Texas, Maryland and Illinois to play in Coaches vs. Cancer >>
Princeton, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pittsburgh, Texas, Maryland and Illinois will
open the 2010-11 basketball season by participating in the Coaches vs. Cancer
Classic.
Those teams will serve as the four regional round hosts for the event.
Report: FCD signs former Wizards 'keeper Hartman >>
Frisco, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - According to a report on the soccer blog 3rd
Degree, FC Dallas has agreed to terms with former Kansas City Wizards
goalkeeper Kevin Hartman.
Hartman, a 13-year Major League Soccer veteran, was un
PGA Tour set to ban clubs after Ping waives rights >>
Ponte Vedra Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The grandfathered wedges and irons
used by Phil Mickelson and others this season will no longer be allowed on the
PGA Tour after the company that makes them agreed to waive its rights from a
decades
Rachel Alexandra debuts in New Orleans Ladies >>
New Orleans, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rachel Alexandra, 2009 Horse of the Year,
is set make her 2010 debut this Saturday at the Fair Grounds in the $200,000
New Orleans Ladies. The 1 1/16-mile test has attracted four females to take
on the
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The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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